Submitted

  1. Wang, Y., J. B. Kajtar, C. M. Aiken, T. Xu & N. J. Holbrook (2025). Predictability and optimal seasonal precursors of marine heatwaves off Western Australia. Journal of Climate, under review.

  2. Xu, T., M. Newman, S.-I. Shin, A. Capotondi, D. J. Vimont, M. A. Alexander & E. Di Lorenzo (2025). Sensitivity of Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwaves to Seasonality of Tropical and Local. Communications Earth & Environment, under review.

Journal Articles

  1. Albers, J. R., M. Newman, M. A. Balmaseda, W. Sweet, Y. Wang & T. Xu (2025). Assessing subseasonal forecast skill for use in predicting US coastal inundation risk . EGU Ocean Science, 21, 1761–1785.

  2. Hovenga, P. A., M. Newman, J. R. Albers, W. Sweet, G. Dusek, T. Xu, J. A. Callahan, S.-I. Shin & G. P. Compo (2025). Using stochastically generated skewed distributions to represent hourly nontidal residual water levels at United States tide gauges . Frontiers in Marine Science, 12:1618367.

  3. Capotondi, A., R. R. Rodrigues, A. S. Gupta, J. A. Benthuysen, C. Deser, T. L. Frölicher, N. S. Lovenduski, D. J. Amaya, N. L. Grix, T. Xu, J. Hermes, N. J. Holbrook, M. K. Roxy, C. Martinez-Villalobos, S. Masina, A. Schaeffer, R. W. Schlegel, K. E. Smith & C. Wang (2024). A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate . Communications Earth & Environment, 5, 701.

  4. Xu, T., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander & A. Capotondi (2024). Seasonal predictability of bottom temperatures along the North American West Coast . Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(9): e2023JC020504.

  5. Gregory, C. H., C. Artana, S. Lama, D. León-FonFay, J. Sala, F. Xiao, T. Xu, A. Capotondi, C. Martinez-Villalobos & N. J. Holbrook (2024). Global marine heatwaves under different flavors of ENSO . Geophysical Research Letters, 51(20), e2024GL110399.

  6. Xu, T., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander & A. Capotondi (2024). A forecast test for reducing dynamical dimensionality of model emulators . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(1): e2022MS003599.

  7. Saenger, C., C. Jimenez-Diaz, A. Gagnon, A. Mix, A. Ross & T. Xu (2024). A framework for reconstructing marine heatwaves from individual foraminifera in low-resolution sedimentary archives . Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, 1321254.

  8. Xu, T., K. Haas & B. Gunawan (2023). Estimating annual energy production from short tidal current records . Renewable Energy, 207: 105–115.

  9. Capotondi, A., S. McGregor, M. J. McPhaden, S. Cravatte, N. J. Holbrook, Y. Imada, S. C. Sanchez, J. Sprintall, M. F. Stuecker, C. C. Ummenhofer, M. Zeller, R. Farneti, G. Graffino, S. Hu, K. B. Karnauskas, Y. Kosaka, F. Kucharski, M. Mayer, B. Qiu, A. Santoso, A. S. Taschetto, F. Wang, X. Zhang, R. M. Holmes, J. Luo, N. Maher, C. Martinez-Villalobos, R. Naha, S. Stevenson, A. Sullivan, P. van Rensch, T. Xu (2023). Mechanisms of Tropical Pacific decadal variability . Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 4, 754–769.

  10. Stevenson, S., X. Huang, Y. Zhao, E. Di Lorenzo, M. Newman, L. van Roekel, T. Xu & A. Capotondi (2023). Ensemble spread behavior in coupled climate models: insights from the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2023MS003653.

  11. Di Lorenzo, E., T. Xu, Y. Zhao, M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, D. J. Amaya, B. T. Anderson, R. Ding, J. C. Furtado, Y. Joh, G. Liguori, J. Lou, A. J. Miller, G. Navarra, N. Schneider, D. J. Vimont, S. Wu & H. Zhang (2023). Modes and mechanisms of Pacific decadal-scale variability . Annual Review of Marine Science, 15:1.

  12. Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, E. Di Lorenzo & M. A. Alexander (2022). An increase in marine heatwaves without significant changes in surface ocean temperature variability . Nature Communications, 13, 7396.

  13. Capotondi, A., M. Newman, T. Xu & E. Di Lorenzo (2022). An optimal precursor of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves and central Pacific El Niño events . Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL097350.

  14. Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi & E. Di Lorenzo (2021). The continuum of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves and their relationship to the Tropical Pacific . Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL090661.

  15. Kumar, N., J. A. Lerczak, T. Xu, A. F. Waterhouse, J. Thomson, E. J. Terrill, C. Swann, S. H. Suanda, M. S. Spydell, P. B. Smit, A. Simpson, R. Romeiser, S. D. Pierce, T. de Paolo, A. Palóczy, A. O’Dea, L. Nyman, J. N. Moum, M. Moulton, A. M. Moore, A. J. Miller, R. S. Mieras, S. T. Merrifield, K. Melville, J. M. McSweeney, J. MacMahan, J. A. MacKinnon, B. Lund, E. Di Lorenzo, L. Lenain, M. Kovatch, T. T. Janssen, S. R. Haney, M. C. Haller, K. Haas, D. J. Grimes, H. C. Graber, M. K. Gough, D. A. Fertitta, F. Feddersen, C. A. Edwards, W. Crawford, J. Colosi, C. C. Chickadel, S. Celona, J. Calantoni, E. F. Braithwaite III, J. Becherer, J. A. Barth & S. Ahn (2020). The inner-shelf dynamics experiment . Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1–77.

  16. Lerczak, J., J. A. Barth, S. Celona, C. Chickadel, J. Colosi, F. Feddersen, M. Haller, S. Haney, L. Lenain, J. MacKinnon, J. MacMahan, K. Melville, A. O’Dea, P. Smit, A. Waterhouse & T. Xu (2019). Untangling a web of interactions where surf meets coastal ocean . EOS, 100.

  17. Haas, K. & T. Xu (2018). The effect of oblique shoreface-connected ridges on alongshore transport and shoreline change . Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 65–65.

  18. Xu, T. & K. Haas (2018). Marine hydrokinetic resource assessment for domestic Army, Air Force, and Coast Guard facilities (pp. 66–79). In National Renewable Energy Laboratory Report, NREL/TP-5000-70519. Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory.

Conference

  1. Hovenga, P., M. Newman, J. Albers, G. Dusek, W. Sweet, T. Xu, J. Callahan & S.-I. Shin (2025). Assessing the characteristics of nontidal residual water level distributions for high tide flooding predictions and projections . EGU General Assembly.

  2. Xu, T., S.-I. Shin, A. Capotondi, M. Newman, E. Di Lorenzo, D. Vimont & M. A. Alexander (2024). The impact of seasonality in the evolution of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  3. Xu, T., M. Newman & J. Albers (2024). An empirical approach for assessing subseasonal-to-annual predictability of U.S. coastal inundation . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  4. Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, E. Di Lorenzo & M. A. Alexander (2024). An increase in marine heatwaves despite no significant changes in surface ocean temperature variability . Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry.

  5. Xu, T. (2024). Linear inverse model as a diagnostic and prediction tool . Chinese-American Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, Colorado Chapter.

  6. Capotondi, A., M. Newman, T. Xu & E. Di Lorenzo (2024). Large-scale drivers of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves in a changing climate . EGU General Assembly.

  7. Xu, T., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander & A. Capotondi (2024). Seasonal predictability of bottom temperatures along the North American West Coast . American Meteorological Society.

  8. Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi, S. Stevenson, E. Di Lorenzo & M. A. Alexander (2022). An increase in marine heatwaves despite no significant changes in surface ocean temperature variability . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  9. Xu, T., M. Newman, M. A. Alexander & A. Capotondi (2022). Reduced dimension of linear empirical dynamical model to forecast Pacific sea surface temperatures . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  10. Haas, K., T. Xu & B. Gunawan (2022). Evaluating measurement-based tidal energy resource assessment methods . Ocean Sciences Meeting.

  11. Capotondi, A., M. Newman, T. Xu & E. Di Lorenzo (2022). An empirical approach for understanding the origin of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves . Ocean Sciences Meeting.

  12. Haas, K.T. Xu & B. Gunawan (2021). Tidal energy resource assessments using moving vessel measurements . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  13. Stevenson, S., X. Huang, Y. Zhao, E. Di Lorenzo, M. Newman, L. Roekel, A. Capotondi & T. Xu (2021). How much does ocean initial state contribute to ensemble spread? Insights from the Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 1 Large Ensemble . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  14. Xu, T., M. Newman, A. Capotondi & E. Di Lorenzo (2020). The continuum of Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves and their relationship to the Tropical Pacific . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  15. Xu, T., Y. Zhao, E. Di Lorenzo & K. Haas (2020). Predictability in the California Current System: the role of North Pacific forcing and the asymmetric response to La Niña vs. El Niño . Ocean Sciences Meeting.

  16. Xu, T. & E. Di Lorenzo (2019). Assessing predictability along the Eastern and Western North Pacific Coastlines . North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES).

  17. Di Lorenzo, E., T. Xu & D. J. Amaya (2019). Alaska marine heatwave 2019 . North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES).

  18. Haas, K. & T. Xu (2018). The effect of oblique shoreface-connected ridges on alongshore transport and shoreline change . 36th International Conference on Coastal Engineering.

  19. Haas, K., T. Xu, J. Colby & V. Neary (2018). Application of the IEC tidal energy resource assessment and characterization technical specification to the Roosevelt Island Tidal Energy (RITE) Site . Marine Energy Technology Symposium.

  20. Xu, T., D. Cai, E. Di Lorenzo, K. Haas, A. Miller, C. Edwards, A. Moore & P. Drake (2018). Experimental forecasts and predictability dynamics of inner shelf circulations: a case study for Pt. Sal, California . Ocean Sciences Meeting.

  21. Haas, K., D. Cai, T. Xu, E. Di Lorenzo, C. Edwards & A. Miller (2018). Modeling alongshore variability of the flow exchange between the surf zone and inner shelf . Ocean Sciences Meeting.

  22. Xu, T. & K. Haas (2017). Exploring the influence of obliquely oriented shoreface-connected ridges on alongshore sediment transport and shoreline change . Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference–Americas.

  23. Xu, T. & K. Haas (2016). Improving the assessment of tidal stream energy resource for Anchorage, Alaska . American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.

  24. Xu, T., K. Haas, J. H. List & I. Safak (2016). Wave transformation and alongshore sediment transport due to obliquely oriented shoreface-connected ridges . Ocean Sciences Meeting.